Category Archives: Election Analysis

Looking at Romney’s Voting Coalition

The primaries in Iowa and New Hampshire have recently concluded, with Mitt Romney winning both. It’s quite probable now that Romney will be the person facing Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election.
Both Iowa and New Hampshire have provided detailed exit polls of the Republican electorate. These paint a good picture of the coalition that Romney is assembling. Continue reading

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Looks Like Romney’s Set To Win?

So it looks like Mitt Romney is all set. His last serious opponent his crashing. Romney will almost certainly win New Hampshire. He will have the momentum of Iowa and New Hampshire heading into South Carolina, where he’s already posting leads. If Romney can win in the heartland of the South, where his popularity has always been lukewarm, then he’s probably the nominee. Continue reading

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Why Barack Obama Will Lose the 2012 Presidential Debates

Mark this prediction for the calendar: Obama will lose the 2012 presidential debates. Continue reading

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Impressions of Elizabeth Warren

Out of curiosity, I decided to watch a few videos Elizabeth Warren and see for myself how good a politician she is. Continue reading

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The Winds of Change in Georgia, Part 2

This is the second part of two posts describing a fascinating election in Georgia: the 1980 Senate election, in which Republican Mack Mattingly beat scandal-ridden Democrat Herman Talmadge. This was the first time that a Republican Senator was elected in Georgia for more than a century. Even more interestingly, the areas that the Democratic candidate won tend to vote strongly Republican today, and vice versa. Continue reading

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