Tag Archives: elections

Romney’s Shifting New Hampshire Coalition

Posted on February 3, 2012 by

This is part of a series of posts analyzing how Mitt Romney’s 2012 coalition has changed from his 2008 coalition. Hopefully such analysis will provide clues as to Romney’s performance in the general election. Continue reading →

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Previewing the Florida Republican Primary

Posted on January 25, 2012 by

Florida is a very diverse state, much more so than any of the other states which have voted so far. Its population is large enough, and each part of the state different enough, that it could very easily be split into several different states with unique cultures.

Below are some thoughts the voting patterns of each part of Florida. Continue reading →

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Romney’s Shifting Iowa Coalition

Posted on January 22, 2012 by

Mitt Romney has famously been running for president for the past four years. He seems to be having more success this time; at the moment, Romney is the unquestioned frontrunner for the Republican nomination.
A previous post analyzed Romney’s voting coalition based off of exit polls. Given that Romney also ran for president in 2008, there are also a lot of exit polls which provide information of Romney’s coalition in 2008. Continue reading →

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A Case Study of the Perils Facing Third-Party Candidates: Taiwan

Posted on January 20, 2012 by

When electorates in the United States and Taiwan are presented with the same situation, they react in the exact same way. This reveals that the effect of a first-past-the-post system is quite universal: the system destroys third party candidacies. Whether the third-party candidate is Ralph Nader or James Soong Chu-yu, the result is the same. Continue reading →

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Ron Paul Is Lying

Posted on January 17, 2012 by

Libertarian Ron Paul is doing quite well in the 2012 Republican primaries; he has taken third place in Iowa and second place in New Hampshire. Perhaps the greatest controversy that Ron Paul has run into is a series of newsletters published under his name. These newsletters are written in a racist and hateful tone. Continue reading →

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